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Google, Apple shares better long-term vs Facebook - Barron's

REUTERS - Shares of Google and Apple are probably better long-term bets than Facebook , and investors would do well to skip its highly touted IPO, Barron's wrote in its May 14 edition.

Facebook shares, if priced at $35, would be at a discount from a recent high of $44 in private trading on SharesPost in late March so could get a pop on the first day of public trading, the financial weekly wrote. The stock may be in the high $30s after the dust clears.

"Facebook is one of the greatest companies of our time, but it doesn't necessarily mean that it will be one of the greatest stocks," Dan Niles, senior portfolio manager at AlphaOne Capital Partners, told Barron's.

At $35, Facebook shares could be discounting $15 billion in annual ad revenues in a few years and $1.50 to $2 a share in profits. A doubling in Facebook's market value may require $30 billion or more of revenue by 2017, five to six times what the company is expected to generate this year. These revenues could produce $3 a share in earnings power and support a $70 stock, according to Barron's.

The company is seeking to raise about $10.6 billion by selling more than 337 million shares at $28 to $35 a share, which would value Facebook at $77 billion to $96 billion. Trading is expected on May 18.

Better bets probably are Apple and Google, proven growth companies with much lower valuations and cash-laden balance sheets, Barron's wrote. "Connect your friends on Facebook. Stay away from the stock."

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Facebook plans to raise $10.6 bln in mega IPO

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Facebook Inc aims to raise about $10.6 billion in Silicon Valley's largest IPO, dwarfing the coming-out parties of tech companies like Google Inc and granting the world's largest social network a market value close to Amazon.com's .

The eight-year-old social network that began as Mark Zuckerberg's Harvard dorm room project indicated an initial public offering price range of between $28 and $35 a share on Thursday, which would value the company at $77 billion to $96 billion.

The size of the IPO reflects the company's growth and bullish expectations about its money-making potential as a hub for everything from advertising to commerce.

"We certainly haven't ever seen a tech IPO on this grandiose a scale," said Lise Buyer, a principal with the IPO advisory firm Class V Group.

Buyer, who worked on Google's 2004 IPO, said the question about a company "that's already this big and that is raising this much money is how many of the glory days of growth are in the past versus how many are ahead."

Facebook stands to raise as much as $12 billion at the upper end of its planned range. If an over-allotment or "greenshoe" option is triggered, the company could sweep up a maximum of $13.6 billion, according to a Thursday prospectus.

Facebook is only getting about half, or $5.6 billion, of the estimated $10.6 billion that it would raise at the midpoint of its planned IPO range. About $4.9 billon will go to some existing shareholders.

Facebook's stock could begin trading as soon as May 18, according to a road showschedule obtained by Reuters. The offering's price range can be adjusted depending on Wall Street's response during the road show.

Investors are expected to flock to the highly anticipated IPO, although there have been growing concerns about the social network's longer-term growth and Zuckerberg's majority control.

Facebook will trade at 13 to 16 times the revenue that GreenCrest Capital analyst Max Wolff believes it will generate this year. By comparison, Google, the world's dominant Internet search engine, currently trades at 5.5 to 6 times expected 2012 revenue, he said.

Google's valuation was higher when it went public in 2004, though Facebook's IPO valuation is still higher than Google's was back then, Wolff noted.

But some observers said the rich premium was unlikely to deter investors.

"People are going to be very comfortable with this valuation," said Sam Schwerin of Millennium Technology Value Partners, which owns Facebook shares worth roughly $200 million. The firm is not selling in the IPO.

"A price range of $28 to $35 will be a relief to some people who are concerned that they may try to take the highest possible price because of high demand," he said.

"The amount being raised is noteworthy. Selling stockholders are raising about $5 billion in the IPO, which is a lot."

Facebook executives are due to hit the road on Monday, presenting their investment case to audiences. They will start in New York, go to other major cities such as Chicago and Boston, and end up on Facebook's home turf in Menlo Park, California, according to the schedule.

Zuckerberg is expected to participate in the two-week road show, a source has said, although Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg and Finance Chief David Ebersman will lead the briefings.

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User growth over the years http://link.reuters.com/mut36s

Bankers fees -- how low? http://link.reuters.com/fep 36s

Top Ten global IPOs http://link.reuters.com/myn36s

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TANTALIZING WALL STREET

Zuckerberg's involvement in the road show will be key for investors with concerns about Facebook's long-term strategy and money-making potential, said Brian Wieser, an analyst with Pivotal Research Group.

Zuckerberg's control of the company -- which was underscored when he orchestrated the $1 billion acquistion of mobile app maker Instagram last month -- means that investors need to "get comfortable" with the 27-year-old CEO, said Wieser.

Last week, Facebook reported its first quarter-to-quarter revenue slide in at least two years, a sign that the social network's sizzling growth may be cooling just as it prepares to go public. Some observers have also flagged the company's lack of revenue on mobile devices such as smartphones as an area of concern.

Dressed in a gray t-shirt and jeans, the copper-haired Zuckerberg appeared in a 31-minute road show video posted online on Thursday. In the video, Zuckerberg predicted that in five years almost every software app would be integrated with Facebook.

Facebook generated the lion's share of its $3.7 billion in revenue last year from online advertising. It also collects fees when consumers use its special Credits currency to purchase virtual goods in social games such as Zynga's Farmville. The company has said it may expand the use of its payment business beyond games.

Facebook, which plans to list its stock on the Nasdaq under the ticker "FB" , has long tantalized investors with the prospect of a mega IPO.

As a private company, shares of Facebook have traded briskly in secondary markets for the past couple of years, as investors sought to get a piece of the fast-growing company ahead of its expected IPO.

The IPO price range indicated in Facebook's filing on Thursday would value the company a hair below the level it has traded at in the secondary markets in recent months, with some trades valuing the company at slightly more than $100 billion.

But some investors think Facebook, which touts 900 million users worldwide, is setting itself a fairly conservative target.

"The price range may be tactical. They will likely walk the range up," Schwerin argued.

Facebook plans to sell 337.4 million shares, or 12.3 percent of the company, in the offering. The capital-raising target far outstrips big Internet IPOs that came before it. Google raised just shy of $2 billion in 2004, while last year Groupon tapped investors for $700 million and Zynga raked in $1 billion.

At the top end of the IPO range, Facebook would rival the market value of Amazon.com and Cisco Systems Inc , which are worth just over $100 billion, and surpass the combined market value of older technology companies Hewlett-Packard Co and Dell Inc .

Among existing shareholders, the largest seller in the IPO will be venture capital firm Accel Partners, which will make about $1.2 billion assuming the shares sell at the $31.5 mid-point. Zuckerberg is selling the next largest chunk of shares, worth a little under $1 billion.

Facebook said that a "substantial majority" of the proceeds from Zuckerberg's stock sale will be used to satisfy taxes he will incur from exercising his options.

In its prospectus, Facebook said the "lock-up" period, during which employees cannot sell shares after the IPO, would range from 151 days to 181 days.

Facebook also added two new underwriters, including online broker E*Trade Securities. The broker caters to retail clients who some have speculated may try to pile into the IPO.

"No doubt Facebook doesn't want to upset the average mom and pop out there," said Craig Huber, research analyst, at independent research firm Huber Research Partners.

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Test Drive : BMW X1 - Riding Roughshod on BMW X1

BMW X1

Anamit Sen addresses a long-pending matter by driving a BMW X1and coming away with good thoughts.

I have a small confession to make - As an automotive photographer and writer I've experienced a wide variety of cars from quite a few international manufacturers like Porsche, Ferrari, Jaguar, Mercedes,Audi, VW and more. But there are quite a few I have not driven but wanted to and at the top of that list was BMW. Was, because I've just been introduced to BMW through what is the 'einsteiger' or the entry model in the X Series, the X1. BMW says that the X1 offers a completely new driving experience in the premium compact segment while helping to increase the range of BMW X models made famous by the X5, the X3 and the coupe-on-an-SUV X6. In India, BMWoffers the X1 in three variants – one petrol (sDrive 18i) and two diesels (sDrive 20D and sDrive 20D Exclusive) with differences in trim and specs. Both entry-level variants in petrol and diesel are priced very competitively at Rs 22,40,00 and Rs 24,40,000 respectively while the Exclusive diesel-only version is priced much higher at Rs 30,40,000 (all prices Ex-showroom) but comes with a whole host of features including a panoramic roof.

In terms of looks the X1 is rather impressive. I looked at it from every conceivable angle - head-on, above, crouched low, front and rear three-quarter from above and below as well as the profile. The head-on view immediately tells you that this is a BMW, a muscular one at that, thanks to that trademark grille and the headlights staring you in the face while from the rear it is quite car-like. It's only when you see it in profile that you start thinking it is more beefed-up estate than SUV which immediately endears the car to me. BMW says the body design is intended to exude self-confidence, elegance, versatility mixed with a bit of an agile, sporty character. To me, the X1 looks quite unlike anything else on the road and this is helped by the fact that we don't have too many estates running on our streets. The X1 has a length x width x height (in mm) of 4454 x 1798 x 1545 and a wheelbase of 2760mm. The track at front and rear was 1500 and 1529mm respectively and the turning radius was 11.3m. The X1's boot capacity is 420 litres but can be increased to a maximum of 1,350 litres if required. An electrically operated Panorama glass roof is also available for the X1 xDrive20d Exclusive.

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Test Drive : BMW 330i - Temptation on Wheels

BMW 330i

Anamit Sen spent a whole day evaluating a BMW 330i in and around Delhi and the NCR. I'm starting this review with a bit of news. Auto Bild magazine in Germany has just reported that the 2012 version of BMW's 3 Series, which will be the 6th generation of the 3 Series, is ready to be showcased at the Frankfurt Motor Show later this year. The reports say that this new BMW, classified internally as the F30 and going up against the Mercedes C Class, Audi's A4 and Volvo's S60, has borrowed quite a bit in terms of design from the 5 Series. It will break new ground in terms of safety and will have new four-cylinder turbocharged engines. The reports also says that though BMW may not be vorsprung durch technik (borrowing from Audi) or advanced/ahead through technology any more because competitors also have the equivalent of the advantages of Efficient Dynamics, the boffins DO have access to the parts and accessory shelf of the 5 Series. Which means it is quite possible that the F30 may offer features like night vision assistance, heads up display or HUD, lane changing assistance as well as automatic parking.So how is that bit of news relevant to this driving impression? Well, if you have not noticed yet the car featured here is the BMW 330i Edition Sport, internally classified as the E90. OK, let me explain the internal classification over the years, which starts way back in 1966 when the 1600-2002 series came in as a family saloon. It was sporty too with an 80bhp engine that could reach 96kph in 13 seconds. The 2002 Turbo was part of the 02 Series, with a 170bhp engine and BMW churned these out till 1976. The internal E classification kicked off with the E21 ,the first generation of 3 Series cars, production of which ran from 1976 to 1982. These cars still used small engines, with capacities of 1.6 and 1.8 litres. BMW introduced their first six-cylinder engine in the 3 Series at the Frankfurt Motor Show in 1977, the 323i which had 143bhp on tap.The E30 that followed in 1983 was the second-generation 3 Series. These cars were bigger than the previous generation cars, had more power, but were lighter, the perfect recipe for performance. The 325i topped the range and had a straight-six engine developing 170bhp out of 2.5litres, good for 135mph or 216kph which would be adequate even today. The E30 was especially notable because it was the base for the first M car, known simply as the BMW M3 E30, launched at the Frankfurt Motor Show in 1985. This particular car was VERY successful in race trim, winning several touring car championships. The M badge had arrived.

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Test Drive : Toyota Liva - Spunky Little Runabout

Toyota Etios Liva

Ever since I saw it at the 2010 Auto Expo, where the Liva (along with the Etios) had been displayed as a concept car I've been waiting for the Liva to set the cat amongst the pigeons. Yes, Toyota does havehatchbacks in it's product portfolio globally but it doesn't have one in it's India portfolio. Until now, that is. Which meant that the company was missing out on a very key segment of the Indian market. The Etios saloon came first and it was adequate but didn't really set one's imagination on fire. All it did was to get most people who drove it remember the Maruti Esteem in terms of dynamics and some thought it looked like a bit like the Renault (Dacia) Logan. The Liva on the other hand was expected to be launched in April 2011 but various factors including the major disaster that affected Fukushima and Japan.

Just as Etios is a derivation of the Greek word Ethos which means spirit, character and ideas, Liva has been derived by combining the words and the intention - Lively and Live Life to the fullest. This also tells you who the car is targetted at, today's youth whose spirit and belief influences the advertising line for the Etios Liva -“LIV TOMORROW TODAY”. Toyota likes to do this in India – remember the Qualis?

Etios Liva is available in four variants, J, G, V and VX, and the pricing ranges from Rs 3.99Lakhs to Rs. 5.99 Lakhs, ex-showroom Delhi. Toyota says the Liva has several USPs that will endear the car to buyers – These include youthful and sporty design, best-in-class cabin space, superior ride comfort and best-in-class fuel efficiency. Toyota has attempted to impart a stylish, sporty and trendy look by offering the Etios Liva with aero kits with front, rear and side skirt. The sporty flat-bottomed steering wheel is another plus as is the 2 DIN audio system with Aux in, USB and a wireless remote.

Toyota says that the Etios Liva has been designed around the concept of ‘Bold Simplicity’. Dunno about that but from the front the Liva is very Etios-like . The same front dominated by the smiling grille and Toyota logo has been replicated here. Standing next to the B pillar looking back, I'm reminded of the Micra but while the Micra's hatch is slanted forward a bit aggressively, this one is upright. The profile view is that of any other hatch in the segment give or take a line here and a curve there.

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